Why Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Could Send Prices Soaring
Why Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Could Send Prices Soaring
Back in August 2023, when Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $27,000, I confidently told my Venture members that it was on a path to reach $150,000.
Fast forward to today, BTC has already surged 274%, hitting an impressive $101,000. And guess what? I’m not stopping there—I now predict Bitcoin will reach $250,000 by 2025.
Why am I so confident?
Because Bitcoin trading is predictable.
Throughout my career, I’ve never seen an asset that sticks to a pattern as consistently as Bitcoin. And this predictability comes down to one simple factor: Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle.
The Magic of Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle
Bitcoin follows a “3 up, 1 down” pattern like clockwork. Every fourth year, crypto markets nosedive. The last major drop was in 2022.
Then comes the recovery phase. During years two and three of the cycle, the gains really start to roll in. Here’s a snapshot of Bitcoin’s annual returns, illustrating this phenomenon:
Year 2 is now, and Year 3 is just around the corner.
I tried approaching this with skepticism—could trading Bitcoin really be this simple? But the data doesn’t lie. The price continues to follow this 4-year cycle as if it were set in stone.
Bitcoin Cycles: A Historical Perspective
Take a look at this chart comparing the current cycle (black line) to the two previous ones:
[Bitcoin Cycle Comparison Chart – Source: Glassnode]
The resemblance is uncanny.
Now, here’s another view of Bitcoin’s entire price history, with key events like U.S. Presidential elections and Bitcoin halvings marked:
[Bitcoin Historical Chart with Elections and Halvings]
What stands out? Bitcoin prices tend to surge every four years, often aligning with the U.S. Presidential elections. Case in point: this year, BTC skyrocketed precisely on November 5.
When a pattern is this consistent, the smartest move is to align your investments with it.
Welcome to the Euphoria Phase
This current part of the cycle is what we call the “euphoria phase.”
Think of the Bitcoin cycle as having four key phases:
- Accumulation
- Growth
- Euphoria
- Correction
The euphoria phase is where things get wild. It’s the time when the largest gains are made and the market sentiment hits fever pitch.
But here’s the kicker: the euphoria phase doesn’t just pump Bitcoin—it sets the stage for altseason.
Altseason: Where the Big Gains Happen
During the accumulation and growth phases, Bitcoin leads the charge. Institutional money flows in, driving BTC to new heights.
But as the euphoria phase kicks in, attention shifts to altcoins.
In the last altseason, for example, Ethereum outperformed Bitcoin by a staggering 8-to-1 ratio. Many smaller altcoins delivered even more jaw-dropping returns.
Two altcoins I’m keeping an eye on right now are Helium and Hivemapper. They’re just the tip of the iceberg—you’ll find more recommendations in my crypto advisory service, Venture.
The Bottom Line
We’re currently in what has historically been the most lucrative part of the Bitcoin cycle. This “sweet spot” has the potential to deliver life-changing gains.
Whether you’re a seasoned crypto investor or a newcomer, this is the moment to position yourself for success. The Bitcoin cycle has proven itself time and time again—don’t miss the chance to ride the wave.